Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Arkansas

Bakeries and dessert shops in Sebastian County, AR

The bakeries and dessert shops in Sebastian County, AR, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other counties.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 25 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,745 of 1,889 scored counties
#31 of 41 scored counties in Arkansas

Listings
72
23 chain locations (32%)
Official establishments
37
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +23.3% since 2019
Household spending a year
$173.7M
On food away from home · $3,328 a household
Spending per listing
$2.4M
42% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
13.8
41% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
130,641
+2.2% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Sebastian County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Sebastian County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Sebastian County scores 25 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #1,745 of 1,889 scored counties and #31 of 41 scored counties in Arkansas. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 72 bakeries and dessert shops in Sebastian County. Of those, 23 are chain locations, or 32%, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 13.8 for every 10,000 households, 41% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in Sebastian County comes to about $173.7M a year: $3,328 per household, 18% below the U.S. average. That is about $2.4M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 42% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 37 businesses with payroll in Sebastian County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, up 23.3% from 2019. That is one for every 1,410 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $203K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Sebastian County. Population estimates show Sebastian County grew 2.2% from 2020 to 2025, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Sebastian County compares

The same measures for Arkansas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Sebastian County, AR compared with Arkansas and the U.S.
MeasureSebastian CountyArkansasU.S.
Listings per 10k households13.89.09.8
Spending per listing$2.4M$3.8M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,4101,8841,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+23.3%+47.1%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+2.2%+3.3%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,328$3,400$4,070
Median household income$57,790$60,773$80,734
Groundwork market score2542

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
30 → 37All snack bars and retail bakeries · +23.3% over the period
Employees, 2023
309
Annual payroll, 2023
$6.7M
One-person businesses, 2023
17All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
7223 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
42The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$203K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Sebastian County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Sebastian County

Population, 2025 estimate
130,641+2.2% since 2020
Households
52,181
Median age
38.5
Homes lived in by their owners
61%
Vehicles per household
1.8
Land area
531 sq. mi.
People per square mile
243
Median household income
$57,790+25.0% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$87,364
Median home value
$176,200
Jobs located here
69,861
Daytime population
144,611Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Sebastian County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Sebastian County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Arkansas

Every Arkansas market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Arkansas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Arkansas, with Sebastian County marked.

Top counties in Arkansas

Counties in Arkansas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Lonoke County, AR72186.3$5.8M+3.5%#219 of 1,889
2Saline County, AR72377.4$5.1M+7.6%#224 of 1,889
3Greene County, AR64116.1$5.3M+3.4%#422 of 1,889
4Crawford County, AR64166.9$4.9M+4.1%#426 of 1,889
5Benton County, AR5713111.7$3.7M+16.0%#673 of 1,889
6Crittenden County, AR5684.4$7.1M−3.9%#681 of 1,889
7Johnson County, AR5665.8$4.9M+2.0%#692 of 1,889
8Baxter County, AR54105.2$5.9M+3.1%#764 of 1,889
9Randolph County, AR4756.8$4.4M+1.5%#1,030 of 1,889
10Faulkner County, AR46438.7$4.1M+8.2%#1,076 of 1,889
31Sebastian County, AR257213.8$2.4M+2.2%#1,745 of 1,889

Other business types in Sebastian County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Sebastian County, AR?

There are 72 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Sebastian County as of September 2026. 23 of them (32%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 37 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 23.3% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 17 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Sebastian County, AR spend on food away from home?

About $173.7M a year, or $3,328 per household. That is 18% below the U.S. average (an index of 82, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 72 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.4M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 52,181 households in Sebastian County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Sebastian County, AR compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Sebastian County has 13.8 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 41% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.4M, 42% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Sebastian County would have about 42, against 72 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,410 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 23.3% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Sebastian County, AR growing?

Population estimates put Sebastian County at 130,641 people in 2025, up 2.2% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 52,181 households. Median household income in Sebastian County is $57,790, 28% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 25.0%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Sebastian County scores 25 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,745 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Sebastian County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Sebastian County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Sebastian County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Sebastian County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.