Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · Alaska

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area

How the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area compares with other metro areas and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 46 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #231 of 387 scored metro areas
#2 of 2 scored metro areas based in Alaska

Listings
31
5 chain locations (16%)
Official establishments
39
All snack bars and retail bakeries · 0.0% since 2019
Household spending a year
$153.6M
On food away from home · $4,224 a household
Spending per listing
$5M
20% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
8.5
13% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
93,972
−1.4% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Fairbanks-College metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Fairbanks-College metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Map listings as of September 2026 show 31 bakeries and dessert shops in the Fairbanks-College metro area. 5 of them (16%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That is 8.5 per 10,000 households, 13% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in the Fairbanks-College metro area spend about $153.6M a year on food away from home, or $4,224 per household, 4% above the U.S. average. Spread across 31 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $5M per shop, 20% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 39 businesses with payroll in the Fairbanks-College metro area classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, unchanged from 2019. That is one for every 932 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Another 3 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $150K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Fairbanks-College metro area.

Population estimates put the population change in the Fairbanks-College metro area from 2020 to 2025 at −1.4%, against +3.1% for the U.S. For bakeries and dessert shops, the Fairbanks-College metro area has a Groundwork market score of 46 (lower middle): #231 of 387 scored metro areas and #2 of 2 scored metro areas based in Alaska.

How the Fairbanks-College metro area compares

The same measures for Alaska and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Fairbanks-College, AK metro area compared with Alaska and the U.S.
MeasureFairbanks-College metro areaAlaskaU.S.
Listings per 10k households8.58.29.8
Spending per listing$5M$5.2M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)9327271,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–20230.0%+20.8%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−1.4%+0.6%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,224$4,320$4,070
Median household income$88,267$92,788$80,734
Groundwork market score4652

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
39All snack bars and retail bakeries · 0.0% over the period
Employees, 2023
694
Annual payroll, 2023
$7.9M
One-person businesses, 2023
3All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
315 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
37The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$150K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Fairbanks-College metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Fairbanks-College metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
93,972−1.4% since 2020
Households
36,359
Median age
35.0
Homes lived in by their owners
62%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
7,335 sq. mi.
People per square mile
13
Median household income
$88,267+14.6% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$112,548
Median home value
$298,200
Jobs located here
n/a
Daytime population
n/aResidents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Fairbanks-College metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Fairbanks-College metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Alaska

Every Alaska market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in Alaska for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Alaska, with the Fairbanks-College metro area marked.

Top metro areas in Alaska

Metro areas in Alaska ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Anchorage, AK541328.9$5.1M+1.9%#158 of 387
2Fairbanks-College, AK46318.5$5M−1.4%#231 of 387

Other business types in the Fairbanks-College metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area?

There are 31 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Fairbanks-College metro area as of September 2026. 5 of them (16%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 39 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, unchanged from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 3 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area spend on food away from home?

About $153.6M a year, or $4,224 per household. That is 4% above the U.S. average (an index of 104, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 31 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $5M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 36,359 households in the Fairbanks-College metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Fairbanks-College metro area has 8.5 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 13% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $5M, 20% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Fairbanks-College metro area would have about 37, against 31 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 932 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count held level from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is the Fairbanks-College, AK metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Fairbanks-College metro area at 93,972 people in 2025, down 1.4% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 36,359 households. Median household income in the Fairbanks-College metro area is $88,267, 9% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 14.6%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Fairbanks-College metro area scores 46 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #231 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Fairbanks-College metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Fairbanks-College metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Fairbanks-College metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Fairbanks-College metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.