Food and drink · Small-town market · Texas
Bakeries and dessert shops in the Bay City, TX area
Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in the Bay City, TX area, set against other small-town markets and the U.S.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 47 out of 100: Lower middle
Ranked #289 of 507 scored small-town markets
#14 of 39 scored small-town markets based in Texas
- Listings
- 15
- 4 chain locations (27%)
- Official establishments
- 5
- All snack bars and retail bakeries
- Household spending a year
- $51.9M
- On food away from home · $3,359 a household
- Spending per listing
- $3.5M
- 17% below the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 9.7
- In line with the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 36,463
- +0.5% since 2020
See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Bay City area
The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Bay City area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
Household spending on food away from home in the Bay City area comes to about $51.9M a year: $3,359 per household, 17% below the U.S. average. That is about $3.5M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 17% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
There are 15 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Bay City area as of September 2026. Of those, 4 are chain locations, or 27%, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 9.7 for every 10,000 households, in line with the U.S. rate of 9.8.
The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Bay City area was 5 in 2023. That is one for every 3,088 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Another 13 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts.
Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the Bay City area grew 0.5%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in the Bay City area is 47 (lower middle), #289 of 507 scored small-town markets and #14 of 39 scored small-town markets based in Texas.
How the Bay City area compares
The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | Bay City area | Texas | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 9.7 | 11.8 | 9.8 |
| Spending per listing | $3.5M | $3.4M | $4.1M |
| Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries) | 3,088 | 1,335 | 1,369 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | n/a | +37.6% | +24.6% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | +0.5% | +8.5% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on food away from home | $3,359 | $3,970 | $4,070 |
| Median household income | $58,628 | $78,476 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 47 | 45 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- 5All snack bars and retail bakeries
- Employees, 2023
- 52
- Annual payroll, 2023
- $990K
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 13All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 154 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 13The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 0
- Amount
- $0
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Bay City area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population and households in the Bay City area
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 36,463+0.5% since 2020
- Households
- 15,439
- Median age
- 37.9
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 68%
- Vehicles per household
- 1.8
- Land area
- 1,093 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 33
- Median household income
- $58,628+19.9% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $78,037
- Median home value
- $172,900
- Jobs located here
- 10,447
- Daytime population
- 29,261Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in the Bay City area?
These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of the Bay City area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardBakeries and dessert shops across Texas
Every Texas market ranked →The highest-scoring small-town markets in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with the Bay City area marked.
Top small-town markets in Texas
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bonham, TX | 70 | 12 | 9.4 | $3.9M | +9.2% | #58 of 507 |
| 2Sulphur Springs, TX | 68 | 11 | 7.9 | $4.6M | +6.1% | #72 of 507 |
| 3Big Spring, TX | 60 | 8 | 6.6 | $5.5M | −12.4% | #142 of 507 |
| 4El Campo, TX | 60 | 16 | 10.1 | $3.6M | +1.2% | #152 of 507 |
| 5Port Lavaca, TX | 56 | 7 | 8.1 | $4.8M | −2.3% | #188 of 507 |
| 6Brenham, TX | 56 | 22 | 14.2 | $2.7M | +7.0% | #195 of 507 |
| 7Del Rio, TX | 55 | 11 | 6.5 | $5.1M | +0.5% | #203 of 507 |
| 8Granbury, TX | 54 | 30 | 11.8 | $3.5M | +13.6% | #216 of 507 |
| 9Brownwood, TX | 53 | 11 | 7.3 | $4.4M | +1.7% | #223 of 507 |
| 10Athens, TX | 50 | 38 | 11.3 | $3.1M | +7.5% | #263 of 507 |
| 14Bay City, TX | 47 | 15 | 9.7 | $3.5M | +0.5% | #289 of 507 |
Other business types in the Bay City area
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
- Restaurants and cafes39
- Sit-down restaurants27
- Fast food and sandwich shops58
- Pizza64
- Coffee shops and cafes63
- Bakeries and dessert shops47
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Bay City, TX area?
As of September 2026, map listings count 15 bakeries and dessert shops in the Bay City area. 4 of them (27%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 5 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts list 13 one-person businesses without payroll.
How much do households in the Bay City, TX area spend on food away from home?
About $51.9M a year, or $3,359 per household. That is 17% below the U.S. average (an index of 83, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 15 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.5M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 15,439 households in the Bay City area and national spending patterns by income.
How does the Bay City, TX area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?
The Bay City area has 9.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, in line with the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.5M, 17% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Bay City area would have about 13, against 15 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 3,088 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.
How fast is the Bay City, TX area growing?
Population estimates put the Bay City area at 36,463 people in 2025, up 0.5% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 15,439 households. The median household income in the Bay City area is $58,628 a year, 27% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 19.9% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Bay City area scores 47 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #289 of 507 scored small-town markets.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Bay City area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Bay City area
Screening a site or an acquisition in the Bay City area?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of the Bay City area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.