Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Montana

Bakeries and dessert shops in Carbon County, MT

How Carbon County, MT compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 37 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,419 of 1,889 scored counties
#12 of 15 scored counties in Montana

Listings
7
0 chain locations (0%)
Official establishments
5
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$18.2M
On food away from home · $3,912 a household
Spending per listing
$2.6M
37% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
15.0
53% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
11,466
+9.1% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Carbon County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Carbon County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Carbon County has a Groundwork market score of 37 (lower middle): #1,419 of 1,889 scored counties and #12 of 15 scored counties in Montana. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 7 bakeries and dessert shops in Carbon County. None of them are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 15.0 for every 10,000 households, 53% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,912 per household (4% below the U.S. average), households in Carbon County spend about $18.2M a year on food away from home. That works out to $2.6M per shop, 37% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 5 businesses with payroll in Carbon County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 933 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $892K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Carbon County. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Carbon County grew 9.1%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Carbon County compares

The same measures for Montana and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Carbon County, MT compared with Montana and the U.S.
MeasureCarbon CountyMontanaU.S.
Listings per 10k households15.07.99.8
Spending per listing$2.6M$4.7M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)9331,0401,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+32.4%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+9.1%+5.3%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,912$3,748$4,070
Median household income$80,261$72,509$80,734
Groundwork market score3748

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
4 → 5All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
38
Annual payroll, 2023
$567K
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
70 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
4The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$892K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Carbon County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Carbon County

Population, 2025 estimate
11,466+9.1% since 2020
Households
4,664
Median age
51.1
Homes lived in by their owners
78%
Vehicles per household
2.4
Land area
2,048 sq. mi.
People per square mile
5
Median household income
$80,261+36.7% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$104,457
Median home value
$420,800
Jobs located here
3,093
Daytime population
9,712Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Carbon County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Carbon County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Montana

Every Montana market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Montana for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Montana, with Carbon County marked.

Top counties in Montana

Counties in Montana ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Ravalli County, MT75126.4$5.7M+9.4%#171 of 1,889
2Lewis and Clark County, MT66196.1$6.4M+5.8%#357 of 1,889
3Gallatin County, MT535310.3$4.2M+7.7%#826 of 1,889
4Cascade County, MT52205.6$6.4M+0.7%#838 of 1,889
5Yellowstone County, MT51618.7$4.5M+4.5%#892 of 1,889
6Missoula County, MT49478.9$4.3M+4.4%#962 of 1,889
7Lincoln County, MT4766.6$4.6M+13.1%#1,028 of 1,889
8Lake County, MT45118.7$4M+6.9%#1,118 of 1,889
9Flathead County, MT45449.9$3.8M+10.1%#1,119 of 1,889
10Park County, MT4389.6$3.9M+5.7%#1,183 of 1,889
12Carbon County, MT37715.0$2.6M+9.1%#1,419 of 1,889

Other business types in Carbon County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Carbon County, MT?

There are 7 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Carbon County as of September 2026. None of them are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 5 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Carbon County, MT spend on food away from home?

About $18.2M a year, or $3,912 per household. That is 4% below the U.S. average (an index of 96, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 7 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.6M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 4,664 households in Carbon County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Carbon County, MT compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Carbon County has 15.0 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 53% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.6M, 37% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Carbon County would have about 4, against 7 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 933 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Carbon County, MT growing?

Population estimates put Carbon County at 11,466 people in 2025, up 9.1% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 4,664 households. Median household income in Carbon County is $80,261, in line with the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 36.7%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Carbon County scores 37 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,419 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Carbon County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Carbon County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Carbon County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Carbon County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.