Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Texas

Bakeries and dessert shops in Karnes County, TX

How Karnes County, TX compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 28 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,682 of 1,889 scored counties
#122 of 147 scored counties in Texas

Listings
6
2 chain locations (33%)
Official establishments
n/a
Fewer than 3, or not published
Household spending a year
$16.6M
On food away from home · $3,504 a household
Spending per listing
$2.8M
33% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
12.7
30% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
15,018
+1.4% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Karnes County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Karnes County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Karnes County has a Groundwork market score of 28 (lower middle): #1,682 of 1,889 scored counties and #122 of 147 scored counties in Texas. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

As of September 2026, map listings count 6 bakeries and dessert shops in Karnes County. 2 of them (33%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That is 12.7 per 10,000 households, 30% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in Karnes County comes to about $16.6M a year: $3,504 per household, 14% below the U.S. average. That works out to $2.8M per shop, 33% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

There is no official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Karnes County: counts under 3 aren’t published. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Karnes County grew 1.4%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Karnes County compares

The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Karnes County, TX compared with Texas and the U.S.
MeasureKarnes CountyTexasU.S.
Listings per 10k households12.711.89.8
Spending per listing$2.8M$3.4M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)n/a1,3351,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+37.6%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+1.4%+8.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,504$3,970$4,070
Median household income$60,214$78,476$80,734
Groundwork market score2845

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
n/aAll snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
n/a
Annual payroll, 2023
n/a
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
62 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
4The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Karnes County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Karnes County

Population, 2025 estimate
15,018+1.4% since 2020
Households
4,730
Median age
38.3
Homes lived in by their owners
62%
Vehicles per household
1.8
Land area
748 sq. mi.
People per square mile
20
Median household income
$60,214+7.3% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$95,318
Median home value
$149,000
Jobs located here
5,718
Daytime population
14,949Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Karnes County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Karnes County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Texas

Every Texas market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with Karnes County marked.

Top counties in Texas

Counties in Texas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Waller County, TX90126.5$6.3M+21.9%#17 of 1,889
2Guadalupe County, TX80416.3$6.7M+15.8%#86 of 1,889
3Bastrop County, TX78277.3$5.5M+21.3%#118 of 1,889
4Medina County, TX76116.2$6.2M+11.4%#144 of 1,889
5Llano County, TX7487.4$5.1M+9.5%#195 of 1,889
6Wilson County, TX73158.2$5.1M+12.2%#210 of 1,889
7San Jacinto County, TX7165.5$6.2M+7.1%#240 of 1,889
8Coryell County, TX68176.3$5.6M+3.0%#316 of 1,889
9Aransas County, TX6797.2$5M+9.3%#342 of 1,889
10Fannin County, TX65129.4$3.9M+9.2%#404 of 1,889
122Karnes County, TX28612.7$2.8M+1.4%#1,682 of 1,889

Other business types in Karnes County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Karnes County, TX?

Karnes County has 6 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 2 of them (33%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. No official count is published for snack bars and retail bakeries in Karnes County: counts under 3 are left out.

How much do households in Karnes County, TX spend on food away from home?

About $16.6M a year, or $3,504 per household. That is 14% below the U.S. average (an index of 86, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 6 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.8M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 4,730 households in Karnes County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Karnes County, TX compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Karnes County has 12.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 30% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.8M, 33% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Karnes County would have about 4, against 6 on map listings.

How fast is Karnes County, TX growing?

Population estimates put Karnes County at 15,018 people in 2025, up 1.4% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 4,730 households. Median household income in Karnes County is $60,214, 25% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 7.3%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Karnes County scores 28 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,682 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Karnes County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Karnes County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Karnes County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Karnes County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.