Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Texas

Bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, TX

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, TX, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 21 out of 100: Low

Ranked #1,805 of 1,889 scored counties
#137 of 147 scored counties in Texas

Listings
135
59 chain locations (44%)
Official establishments
66
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +4.8% since 2019
Household spending a year
$326.1M
On food away from home · $3,440 a household
Spending per listing
$2.4M
42% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
14.2
45% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
254,321
−0.7% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Jefferson County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Jefferson County has a Groundwork market score of 21 (low): #1,805 of 1,889 scored counties and #137 of 147 scored counties in Texas. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

Households in Jefferson County spend about $326.1M a year on food away from home, or $3,440 per household, 15% below the U.S. average. That is about $2.4M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 42% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

There are 135 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Jefferson County as of September 2026. Of those, 59 are chain locations, or 44%, against 35% across the U.S. That is 14.2 per 10,000 households, 45% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Jefferson County was 66 in 2023, up 4.8% from 2019. That is one for every 1,436 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $86K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Jefferson County. Population estimates put the population change in Jefferson County from 2020 to 2025 at −0.7%, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How Jefferson County compares

The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, TX compared with Texas and the U.S.
MeasureJefferson CountyTexasU.S.
Listings per 10k households14.211.89.8
Spending per listing$2.4M$3.4M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,4361,3351,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+4.8%+37.6%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−0.7%+8.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,440$3,970$4,070
Median household income$60,026$78,476$80,734
Groundwork market score2145

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
63 → 66All snack bars and retail bakeries · +4.8% over the period
Employees, 2023
589
Annual payroll, 2023
$11.1M
One-person businesses, 2023
41All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
13559 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
79The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$86K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Jefferson County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Jefferson County

Population, 2025 estimate
254,321−0.7% since 2020
Households
94,807
Median age
37.5
Homes lived in by their owners
63%
Vehicles per household
1.7
Land area
877 sq. mi.
People per square mile
290
Median household income
$60,026+17.1% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$84,586
Median home value
$169,500
Jobs located here
118,164
Daytime population
271,710Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Jefferson County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Texas

Every Texas market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with Jefferson County marked.

Top counties in Texas

Counties in Texas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Waller County, TX90126.5$6.3M+21.9%#17 of 1,889
2Guadalupe County, TX80416.3$6.7M+15.8%#86 of 1,889
3Bastrop County, TX78277.3$5.5M+21.3%#118 of 1,889
4Medina County, TX76116.2$6.2M+11.4%#144 of 1,889
5Llano County, TX7487.4$5.1M+9.5%#195 of 1,889
6Wilson County, TX73158.2$5.1M+12.2%#210 of 1,889
7San Jacinto County, TX7165.5$6.2M+7.1%#240 of 1,889
8Coryell County, TX68176.3$5.6M+3.0%#316 of 1,889
9Aransas County, TX6797.2$5M+9.3%#342 of 1,889
10Fannin County, TX65129.4$3.9M+9.2%#404 of 1,889
137Jefferson County, TX2113514.2$2.4M−0.7%#1,805 of 1,889

Other business types in Jefferson County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Jefferson County, TX?

As of September 2026, map listings count 135 bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County. 59 of them (44%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 66 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 4.8% from 2019. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts list 41 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Jefferson County, TX spend on food away from home?

About $326.1M a year, or $3,440 per household. That is 15% below the U.S. average (an index of 85, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 135 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.4M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 94,807 households in Jefferson County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Jefferson County, TX compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Jefferson County has 14.2 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 45% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.4M, 42% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Jefferson County would have about 79, against 135 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,436 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 4.8% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Jefferson County, TX growing?

Population estimates put Jefferson County at 254,321 people in 2025, down 0.7% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 94,807 households. The median household income in Jefferson County is $60,026 a year, 26% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 17.1% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Jefferson County scores 21 for bakeries and dessert shops (low), #1,805 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Jefferson County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Jefferson County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Jefferson County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.