Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Texas

Bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County, TX

How Hardin County, TX compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 43 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,199 of 1,889 scored counties
#79 of 147 scored counties in Texas

Listings
26
13 chain locations (50%)
Official establishments
16
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$85.2M
On food away from home · $3,834 a household
Spending per listing
$3.3M
21% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
11.7
19% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
58,723
+4.2% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Hardin County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Hardin County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Household spending on food away from home in Hardin County comes to about $85.2M a year: $3,834 per household, 6% below the U.S. average. That is about $3.3M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 21% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

There are 26 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Hardin County as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 50% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That is 11.7 per 10,000 households, 19% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Official counts show 16 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Hardin County in 2023. That is one for every 1,389 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts also show 9 one-person businesses without payroll.

Population estimates put the population change in Hardin County from 2020 to 2025 at +4.2%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). For bakeries and dessert shops, Hardin County has a Groundwork market score of 43 (lower middle): #1,199 of 1,889 scored counties and #79 of 147 scored counties in Texas.

How Hardin County compares

The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County, TX compared with Texas and the U.S.
MeasureHardin CountyTexasU.S.
Listings per 10k households11.711.89.8
Spending per listing$3.3M$3.4M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,3891,3351,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+37.6%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+4.2%+8.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,834$3,970$4,070
Median household income$75,808$78,476$80,734
Groundwork market score4345

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
11 → 16All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
95
Annual payroll, 2023
$991K
One-person businesses, 2023
9All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
2613 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
21The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Hardin County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Hardin County

Population, 2025 estimate
58,723+4.2% since 2020
Households
22,222
Median age
39.9
Homes lived in by their owners
82%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
891 sq. mi.
People per square mile
65
Median household income
$75,808+25.6% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$96,066
Median home value
$205,700
Jobs located here
11,175
Daytime population
44,561Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Hardin County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Hardin County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Texas

Every Texas market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with Hardin County marked.

Top counties in Texas

Counties in Texas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Waller County, TX90126.5$6.3M+21.9%#17 of 1,889
2Guadalupe County, TX80416.3$6.7M+15.8%#86 of 1,889
3Bastrop County, TX78277.3$5.5M+21.3%#118 of 1,889
4Medina County, TX76116.2$6.2M+11.4%#144 of 1,889
5Llano County, TX7487.4$5.1M+9.5%#195 of 1,889
6Wilson County, TX73158.2$5.1M+12.2%#210 of 1,889
7San Jacinto County, TX7165.5$6.2M+7.1%#240 of 1,889
8Coryell County, TX68176.3$5.6M+3.0%#316 of 1,889
9Aransas County, TX6797.2$5M+9.3%#342 of 1,889
10Fannin County, TX65129.4$3.9M+9.2%#404 of 1,889
79Hardin County, TX432611.7$3.3M+4.2%#1,199 of 1,889

Other business types in Hardin County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Hardin County, TX?

As of September 2026, map listings count 26 bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County. 13 of them (50%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 16 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Another 9 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts.

How much do households in Hardin County, TX spend on food away from home?

About $85.2M a year, or $3,834 per household. That is 6% below the U.S. average (an index of 94, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 26 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.3M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 22,222 households in Hardin County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Hardin County, TX compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Hardin County has 11.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 19% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.3M, 21% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Hardin County would have about 21, against 26 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,389 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Hardin County, TX growing?

Population estimates put Hardin County at 58,723 people in 2025, up 4.2% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 22,222 households. The median household income in Hardin County is $75,808 a year, 6% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 25.6% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Hardin County scores 43 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,199 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Hardin County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Hardin County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Hardin County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Hardin County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.