Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · Pennsylvania

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Lancaster, PA metro area

The bakeries and dessert shops in the Lancaster, PA metro area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other metro areas.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 42 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #266 of 387 scored metro areas
#11 of 16 scored metro areas based in Pennsylvania

Listings
253
75 chain locations (30%)
Official establishments
148
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +23.3% since 2019
Household spending a year
$880.2M
On food away from home · $4,137 a household
Spending per listing
$3.5M
16% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
11.9
21% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
563,159
+1.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Lancaster metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Lancaster metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Households in the Lancaster metro area spend about $880.2M a year on food away from home, or $4,137 per household, 2% above the U.S. average. That is about $3.5M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 16% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

The Lancaster metro area has 253 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. Of those, 75 are chain locations, or 30%, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 11.9 for every 10,000 households, 21% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Lancaster metro area was 148 in 2023, up 23.3% from 2019. That is one for every 1,437 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 37 one-person businesses without payroll. Since fiscal 2022, 3 SBA-backed loans worth $540K have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Lancaster metro area.

Population estimates show the Lancaster metro area grew 1.9% from 2020 to 2025, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). For bakeries and dessert shops, the Lancaster metro area has a Groundwork market score of 42 (lower middle): #266 of 387 scored metro areas and #11 of 16 scored metro areas based in Pennsylvania.

How the Lancaster metro area compares

The same measures for Pennsylvania and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lancaster, PA metro area compared with Pennsylvania and the U.S.
MeasureLancaster metro areaPennsylvaniaU.S.
Listings per 10k households11.910.49.8
Spending per listing$3.5M$3.8M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,4371,6101,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+23.3%+13.1%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+1.9%+0.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,137$3,973$4,070
Median household income$86,959$77,971$80,734
Groundwork market score4238

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
148All snack bars and retail bakeries · +23.3% over the period
Employees, 2023
1,786
Annual payroll, 2023
$30.2M
One-person businesses, 2023
37All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
25375 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
212The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
3
Amount
$540K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Lancaster metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Lancaster metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
563,159+1.9% since 2020
Households
212,748
Median age
40.5
Homes lived in by their owners
70%
Vehicles per household
1.8
Land area
944 sq. mi.
People per square mile
591
Median household income
$86,959+31.6% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$112,346
Median home value
$301,100
Jobs located here
258,003
Daytime population
553,680Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Lancaster metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Lancaster metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Pennsylvania

Every Pennsylvania market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in Pennsylvania for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Pennsylvania, with the Lancaster metro area marked.

Top metro areas in Pennsylvania

Metro areas in Pennsylvania ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Chambersburg, PA69518.0$4.8M+3.0%#48 of 387
2Lebanon, PA65457.9$4.9M+2.2%#74 of 387
3York-Hanover, PA6118410.1$4M+3.6%#111 of 387
4Gettysburg, PA60379.1$4.4M+3.6%#121 of 387
5Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA5526310.7$3.7M+4.2%#157 of 387
6Reading, PA5317710.8$3.6M+2.7%#176 of 387
7Johnstown, PA51386.8$4.9M−3.2%#189 of 387
8Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ4939111.5$3.6M+3.0%#208 of 387
9Williamsport, PA47377.9$4.4M−1.3%#224 of 387
10Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD452,71111.0$4M+1.4%#247 of 387
11Lancaster, PA4225311.9$3.5M+1.9%#266 of 387

Other business types in the Lancaster metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Lancaster, PA metro area?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 253 bakeries and dessert shops in the Lancaster metro area. 75 of them (30%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 148 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 23.3% from 2019. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts also show 37 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Lancaster, PA metro area spend on food away from home?

About $880.2M a year, or $4,137 per household. That is 2% above the U.S. average (an index of 102, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 253 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.5M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 212,748 households in the Lancaster metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Lancaster, PA metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Lancaster metro area has 11.9 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 21% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.5M, 16% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Lancaster metro area would have about 212, against 253 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,437 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 23.3% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is the Lancaster, PA metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Lancaster metro area at 563,159 people in 2025, up 1.9% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 212,748 households. The median household income in the Lancaster metro area is $86,959 a year, 8% above the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 31.6% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Lancaster metro area scores 42 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #266 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Lancaster metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Lancaster metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Lancaster metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Lancaster metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.