Groundwork

Food and drink · County · New York

Bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, NY

The bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, NY, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other counties.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 21 out of 100: Low

Ranked #1,806 of 1,889 scored counties
#57 of 61 scored counties in New York

Listings
53
12 chain locations (23%)
Official establishments
43
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +48.3% since 2019
Household spending a year
$119.3M
On food away from home · $3,959 a household
Spending per listing
$2.3M
46% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
17.6
80% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
65,020
−0.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Warren County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Warren County scores 21 (low) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #1,806 of 1,889 scored counties and #57 of 61 scored counties in New York. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

As of September 2026, map listings count 53 bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County. 12 of them (23%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 17.6, 80% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,959 per household (3% below the U.S. average), households in Warren County spend about $119.3M a year on food away from home. Spread across 53 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $2.3M per shop, 46% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County was 43 in 2023, up 48.3% from 2019. That is one for every 701 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $400K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County. Population estimates put the population change in Warren County from 2020 to 2025 at −0.9%, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How Warren County compares

The same measures for New York and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, NY compared with New York and the U.S.
MeasureWarren CountyNew YorkU.S.
Listings per 10k households17.611.79.8
Spending per listing$2.3M$3.6M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)7019551,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+48.3%+16.5%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−0.9%−0.6%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,959$4,270$4,070
Median household income$78,442$85,974$80,734
Groundwork market score2126

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
29 → 43All snack bars and retail bakeries · +48.3% over the period
Employees, 2023
339
Annual payroll, 2023
$9M
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
5312 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
29The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$400K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Warren County

Population, 2025 estimate
65,020−0.9% since 2020
Households
30,133
Median age
46.9
Homes lived in by their owners
72%
Vehicles per household
1.7
Land area
867 sq. mi.
People per square mile
76
Median household income
$78,442+28.5% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$105,475
Median home value
$267,400
Jobs located here
34,221
Daytime population
69,870Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Warren County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across New York

Every New York market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in New York for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in New York, with Warren County marked.

Top counties in New York

Counties in New York ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Saratoga County, NY66787.7$5.9M+2.3%#362 of 1,889
2Wayne County, NY66246.2$5.9M+0.1%#364 of 1,889
3Schenectady County, NY65477.0$5.7M+3.0%#387 of 1,889
4Putnam County, NY583911.0$4.6M+1.4%#620 of 1,889
5Tioga County, NY56157.4$5.1M−1.9%#691 of 1,889
6Wyoming County, NY55137.9$4.5M−1.3%#745 of 1,889
7Rockland County, NY5112812.3$3.9M+5.9%#905 of 1,889
8Richmond County, NY5017110.0$4.5M+1.3%#926 of 1,889
9Albany County, NY501269.4$4.4M+2.2%#927 of 1,889
10Lewis County, NY5098.1$4.3M−0.3%#930 of 1,889
57Warren County, NY215317.6$2.3M−0.9%#1,806 of 1,889

Other business types in Warren County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Warren County, NY?

Warren County has 53 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 12 of them (23%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 43 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 48.3% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Warren County, NY spend on food away from home?

About $119.3M a year, or $3,959 per household. That is 3% below the U.S. average (an index of 97, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 53 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.3M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 30,133 households in Warren County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Warren County, NY compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Warren County has 17.6 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 80% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.3M, 46% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Warren County would have about 29, against 53 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 701 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 48.3% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Warren County, NY growing?

Population estimates put Warren County at 65,020 people in 2025, down 0.9% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 30,133 households. Median household income in Warren County is $78,442, 3% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 28.5%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Warren County scores 21 for bakeries and dessert shops (low), #1,806 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Warren County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Warren County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Warren County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.